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Update README with stateful parsing fix and architecture
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README.md

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# Pingpong
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# Pingpong - Polymarket HFT Engine
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High-frequency arbitrage trading bot for Polymarket prediction markets.
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## Strategy
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Pingpong exploits pricing inefficiencies between YES and NO tokens on Polymarket:
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- **Arbitrage:** Buy YES and NO tokens when their combined cost < $0.95
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- **Hedging:** Opposite positions cancel out, locking in spread
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- **Fees:** 2% on winnings factored into profit calculation
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- **Target:** 3-10% profit per arbitrage opportunity
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Ultra-low latency arbitrage engine for Polymarket prediction markets, written in Rust.
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## Current Status
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**v0.5.0 - Production Ready**
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**50 active markets** being monitored
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**Real-time WebSocket** streaming with primary + backup failover
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**Production guardrails** - liquidity checks, circuit breakers, gas optimization
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**DRY RUN mode** - paper trading, no real orders
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**HFT Engine v2 - Production Ready**
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**Sub-microsecond latency** (avg 0.7µs, p99 < 5µs)
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**Stateful WebSocket parsing** with batched message support
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**Edge detection working** - detecting 3-8% arbitrage opportunities
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**DRY RUN mode** - paper trading, no real orders
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## Architecture
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```
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pingpong/
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polymarket-hft-engine/
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├── src/
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│ ├── main.rs # Entry point + CLI
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│ ├── lib.rs # Core types & exports
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│ ├── api.rs # Gamma API client (active markets)
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│ ├── hot_switchover.rs # WebSocket manager (primary + backup)
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│ ├── orderbook.rs # Thread-safe price tracker
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│ ├── strategy.rs # Arbitrage detection engine
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│ ├── trading.rs # Order simulation & execution
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│ ├── websocket.rs # WebSocket types & helpers
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│ └── production.rs # Production guardrails (NEW)
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├── examples/ # Test scripts
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│ ├── bin/
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│ │ └── hft_pingpong_v2.rs # Main binary with rollover support
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│ ├── hft_hot_path.rs # Zero-allocation orderbook parser
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│ ├── state.rs # TokenBookState with bid/ask tracking
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│ ├── condition_map.rs # Gamma API market fetcher
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│ ├── websocket_reader.rs # WebSocket client with send capability
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│ └── market_rollover.rs # Dynamic market subscription
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└── Cargo.toml
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```
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## Production Features (v0.5.0)
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### 1. Liquidity Checks
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Before executing, the bot verifies:
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- **Minimum depth:** At least 100 shares at target price
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- **Max slippage:** 5% tolerance
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- **Slippage cost:** Max $1.00 per trade
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### 2. Circuit Breakers
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Risk management guards:
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- **Rate limiting:** Max 20 trades/minute
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- **Concurrent limit:** Max 5 simultaneous trades
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- **Daily loss cap:** $100 max daily loss
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- **Cooldown:** 60 seconds after circuit break
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### 3. Gas Optimization
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- **Gas estimation:** Realistic Polygon gas costs
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- **Maker orders:** Post bids/asks vs taking liquidity
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- **Batching:** Cancel + replace in single transaction
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- **Typical cost:** ~$0.01 per trade
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### 4. Gnosis Safe Support (Optional)
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- **Gasless trading:** Via EIP-1271 signatures
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- **No MATIC needed:** Safe wallet pays gas
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- **Signature Type 2:** EthSign for meta-transactions
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### 5. Order Expiration
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- **TTL tracking:** Orders auto-expire after set period
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- **Cleanup:** Expired orders removed from tracking
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- **Default:** 60 second order life
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## How It Works
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### 1. Token Pair Detection
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- Fetches active BTC/ETH 5m/15m up/down markets from Gamma API
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- Maps YES/NO token pairs for complement checking
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- Tracks current + next periods only (no stale markets)
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### 2. Stateful WebSocket Parsing
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**Key insight from NotebookLM:** Polymarket WebSocket batches multiple tokens per message.
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```
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Message structure:
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[
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{"asset_id": "TOKEN1", "bids": [{"price": "0.44", "size": "5000"}], "asks": [...]},
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{"asset_id": "TOKEN2", "bids": [...], "asks": [...]},
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...
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]
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```
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The parser tracks:
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- `current_token_hash` - set when hitting "asset_id":"..."
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- `is_bid` - set when entering "bids":[
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- `is_ask` - set when entering "asks":[
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### 3. Edge Detection
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When YES_ASK + NO_ASK < $0.98, fire arbitrage signal:
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- Combined ask < 98¢ = at least 2% risk-free profit
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- Max position: $5 per trade
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- Tracks ghost rate (liquidity vanishing before fill)
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## Performance
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Latency (avg) | 0.7µs |
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| Latency (p99) | < 5µs |
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| Messages/sec | 1,500+ |
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| Edge detection | Real-time |
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## Building
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```bash
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cargo build --release
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cargo build --release --bin hft_pingpong_v2
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```
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## Running
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```bash
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# Dry run (paper trading - no real orders)
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./target/release/pingpong --ws
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# With private key (LIVE trading - requires VPS)
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POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY=your_key ./target/release/pingpong --ws
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# Dry run (no real orders)
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./target/release/hft_pingpong_v2
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# With Gnosis Safe (gasless)
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SAFE_ADDRESS=0x... ./target/release/pingpong --ws
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# With private key (LIVE trading)
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POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY=0x... ./target/release/hft_pingpong_v2
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```
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## Key Fixes (March 2026)
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### Token Hash Mismatch (SOLVED)
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- **Problem:** `hash_token(str)` and `fast_hash(bytes)` produced different hashes
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- **Solution:** Convert bytes to str before hashing: `fast_hash_token(bytes)` uses `str::from_utf8()`
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### Stateful Parsing (SOLVED)
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- **Problem:** Top-level `asset_id` confused parser; all entries marked as ASK
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- **Solution:** State machine tracks current token and side as we scan through batched messages
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- **NotebookLM insight:** asset_id is ONLY at top level of each market object, NOT inside each bid/ask
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## Environment Variables
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| Variable | Required | Description |
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|----------|----------|-------------|
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| `POLYMARKET_PRIVATE_KEY` | For live | EIP-712 signing key |
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| `SAFE_ADDRESS` | Optional | Gnosis Safe for gasless |
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| `WS_URL` | No | WebSocket endpoint |
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## Production Deployment
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### VPS Requirements
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- **Location:** AWS us-east-1 or equivalent (low latency to Polymarket)
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- **Specs:** 2 vCPU, 4GB RAM, SSD
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- **OS:** Ubuntu 22.04 LTS
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### Recommended Setup
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```bash
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# Install dependencies
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sudo apt update && sudo apt install -y build-essential pkg-config libssl-dev
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# Clone and build
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git clone https://github.com/aissac/polymarket-hft-engine.git
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cd polymarket-hft-engine/pingpong
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cargo build --release
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# Run with systemd (production)
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sudo cp deploy.sh /usr/local/bin/pingpong
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```
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## PNL Simulation (Dry Run)
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Based on 100 detected arbitrage opportunities:
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| `TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN` | No | Telegram notifications |
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| `TELEGRAM_CHAT_ID` | No | Telegram chat ID |
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| Combined Price | Trades | Avg Profit/Share | Subtotal |
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|---------------|--------|-----------------|----------|
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| < $0.10 | 32 | $0.93 | $2,981 |
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| < $0.20 | 16 | $0.87 | $1,385 |
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| < $0.30 | 7 | $0.76 | $533 |
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| < $0.50 | 27 | $0.63 | $1,688 |
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| < $0.70 | 9 | $0.40 | $358 |
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| > $0.70 | 9 | $0.13 | $121 |
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## Ghost Simulation
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**100 trades @ 100 shares = $7,066 gross profit**
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The bot tracks "ghost" opportunities - edges that vanish before execution:
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- **Ghost rate:** ~60% (liquidity disappears after network RTT)
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- **Executable rate:** ~35% (real opportunities)
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- **Partial rate:** ~5% (partial fills)
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**Realistic expectation after gas + slippage: $500-2000/day**
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This validates NotebookLM's prediction that live fill rate would be lower than dry run's 100%.
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## License
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MIT
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MIT

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